TSLAconsumer cyclicalnasdaqgsupdated 10:36:49 PM

Tesla Inc. logoTesla Inc.

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is a consumer cyclical company operating in auto manufacturers. Results are tied to consumer spending, wage trends, and macro cycle strength. This analysis page tracks valuation context, trend strength, and downside risk over time.

Price

$382.70

+2.05% today

Risk

Medium

29.1% vol · 30d

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Key facts, as of

As of October 11, 2026, Tesla Inc. (TSLA) trades at $382.70, down 12.1% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $297.38 to $498.83; the price is 23.3% below that high. It is 23.3% below its all-time high of $498.83, reached in December 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +2508.5%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 2.0% below its 200-day average of $390.60, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 29.1% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 354.4.

Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Tesla Inc. (TSLA) stock analysis", 2026-10-11. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/tsla

01Market

Where it trades today

Market cap

$1.51T

Price / earnings

354.4x

Beta

1.92

swings more than the market

Dividend yield

none

Volume

38.95M

avg 37.61M

50-day average

$354.74

200-day average

$390.60

30-day trend

bullish

52-week range23.3% below the high
low $297.38$382.70high $498.83

trading 42% of the way up its 52-week range

02Price

How the price has moved

30-day price+5.26%
30 days ago$363.56 → $382.70today
1-year performance-12.9%
$348$400$453OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
TSLA · 52 weeks$439.31 → $382.70
03History

How far it is from its record

All-time high

$498.83

Dec 2025, intraday

From the high

−23.3%

+30.3% to regain it

History from

Jun 2010

monthly, Yahoo Finance

10 years

+2508.5%

SPY +312.9%

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is 23.3% below its all-time high of $498.83, reached in December 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +2508.5%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

TSLA since Jun 2010−23.3% from the high
$129$259$382.70$498.83 · Dec 20252020
04Decision

What to weigh before acting

decision support3 sources

What Matters Now

  • Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
  • TSLA trades at 354.4x earnings, well above the consumer cyclical average of 20.0x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
  • TSLA carries a beta of 1.92, which means the stock should be judged on how it affects total portfolio swings, not just on standalone upside.
  • TSLA is in a bullish short-term regime and only 23.3% below its 52-week high, so the question is whether fundamentals can keep pace with that stronger tape.

Portfolio Use Case

  • TSLA is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside consumer cyclical than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
  • This name works better as a satellite or higher-conviction growth position because it can amplify market swings in both directions.
  • It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.

What Would Change the View

  • A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in TSLA.
  • If the short-term trend rolls over while volume fades, the market may stop paying up for momentum before the fundamentals change.
  • Volatility is already above the sector norm, so even a correct long-term thesis can be painful if the position size is too aggressive.

Methodology

  • Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for TSLA come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
  • 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
  • Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
  • Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, HD, NKE.

Sources

  • Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →

    Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for TSLA. Last refresh: Oct 11, 2026, 10:36 PM.

  • Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →

    Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.

  • Peer set and coverage context

    Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, HD, NKE.

Editorial note · Written by Portfolio Terminal Research. Template updated 3/24/2026, market data refreshed 10/11/2026, 10:36:49 PM. Built for research and portfolio monitoring, not personalized investment advice.
05About

What Tesla Inc. does

profile

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale. It also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles…

Employees

134,785

Industry

Auto Manufacturers

Headquarters

Austin, United States

06Analyst Consensus

What analysts expect

TSLA carries a buy consensus from 38 analysts, with an average price target of $396.57 versus $382.70 today (+3.6%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.

Consensus

Buy

Average target

$396.57

$128.11 to $600.00

Upside to target

+3.6%

Analysts covering

38

Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.

07Financial Strength

How the business is doing

TSLA generated $103.62B in trailing revenue (25.5% year over year), with a 3.7% net margin, and $4.84B of free cash flow, supported by $27.44B of net cash.

Revenue (TTM)

$103.62B

Net margin

3.7%

Revenue growth

25.5%

Free cash flow

$4.84B

Gross margin

18.9%

Operating margin

1.4%

Return on equity

4.7%

Total cash

$43.52B

Total debt

$16.08B

Earnings growth

-3.0%

08Annual Financials

The numbers, year by year

annual financials4 years
Fiscal yearRevenueGross profitOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2025$94.83B$17.09B$4.85B$3.79B$1.18$6.22B
2024$97.69B$17.45B$7.76B$7.13B$2.23$3.58B
2023$96.77B$17.66B$8.89B$15.00B$4.73$4.36B
2022$81.46B$20.85B$13.83B$12.58B$4.02$7.55B
Company filings via Yahoo Finance. Refreshed 10/11/2026.
09Next Earnings

When it reports next

Next report

Oct 21, 2026

EPS estimate

$0.45

Revenue estimate

$28.04B

Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.

10ETFs

Which ETFs hold it

TSLA is in 10 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLY: 18.6% of the fund, holding #2 of 47. It is ARKK's largest holding.

etfs holding it10 of 30 funds
XLY18.6%#2 of 47ARKK9.18%#1 of 45QQQ3.00%#9 of 101QQQM2.81%#9 of 102VUG2.79%#9 of 147SPY1.60%#10 of 504IVV1.60%#10 of 503VOO1.57%#10 of 505VTI1.40%#10 of 3,503JEPI0.44%#70 of 119
11Investors

Famous investors who hold it

TSLA is in the latest 13F of 2 of the 15 famous investors we follow. Renaissance Technologies (Founded by Jim Simons) holds the most of it: 0.64% of the portfolio, position #16 of 2,931, as of Q2 2026.

famous investors2 of 15 13F filers
Renaissance TechnologiesFounded by Jim Simons · Q2 20260.64%#16 of 2,931George SorosSoros Fund Management · Q2 20260.45%#70 of 261
SEC Form 13F, Q2 2026, filed August 13 to August 14, 2026. Long US positions only, 45 days after the quarter; shares, not options.Every investor we follow →
12Sector

How it sits in consumer cyclical

Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.

versus the sectorTSLA vs average
metricTSLAsectorverdict
price / earnings354.4x20.0x↑ 1672%
beta1.921.20more volatile
dividend yield0.00%1.20%below average
30-day volatility29.1%26%higher risk
13Peers

The companies it competes with

TSLA beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.

competitors4 companies
companypricemarket cap
Tesla Inc. logoTSLA$382.70$1.51T
Amazon.com Inc. logoAMZN$262.43$2.83TThe Home Depot logoHD$290.74$290.07BNike Inc. logoNKE$34.71$51.56B
Any row opens that company's own analysis.
14Technicals

What the chart is saying

Back above its 50-day average, still under the long-term trend.

recovering
tsla · daily
50-day 355200-day 391resistancesupport
3004004507030RSI 14 · 60volR 435R 417S 366S 350383MayJunJulAugSepOct
Daily candles · TSLALevels are zones where the price turned at least twice in the last year. Last close $382.70 on 2026-10-09.

RSI (14)

60

neutral zone

vs 50-day

+7.9%

avg $354.74

vs 200-day

−2.0%

avg $390.60

From 1-year high

−23.3%

high $498.83 · 2025-12-22

levels and the read41% annualized vol · 30d
resistance$434.60turned here 2×+13.6%
resistance$416.95turned here 6×+9.0%
support$366.37turned here 3×−4.3%
support$349.96turned here 2×−8.6%
  • Price is 7.9% above its 50-day average and 2.0% below its 200-day.
  • RSI at 60 is neither stretched nor washed out.
  • The nearest ceiling is $416.95 (+9.0%), the nearest floor $366.37 (-4.3%).

A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.

15Questions

Questions people ask about it

questions9 answered

Is TSLA a good investment in 2026?

Tesla Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 354.4, with medium volatility (29.1% annualized). Recent momentum is positive.

What is the risk level of TSLA?

Based on 30-day volatility of 29.1%, TSLA has MEDIUM risk. Beta of 1.92 indicates higher sensitivity to market movements than average.

Does TSLA pay dividends?

Tesla Inc. currently does not pay a regular dividend.

How far is TSLA from its all-time high?

Tesla Inc. is 23.3% below its all-time high of $498.83, reached in December 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +2508.5%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

Which ETFs hold TSLA?

10 of the 30 popular ETFs we track hold Tesla Inc.. The largest weights: XLY (18.6%), ARKK (9.18%), QQQ (3.00%), QQQM (2.81%) and VUG (2.79%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to October 1, 2026.

How much of VOO is TSLA?

1.57%, as of August 31, 2026: TSLA is holding #10 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $15.65 in Tesla Inc..

Which famous investors own TSLA?

Renaissance Technologies (0.64% of Founded by Jim Simons's 13F) and George Soros (0.45% of Soros Fund Management's 13F), according to their latest Form 13F filings with the SEC (Q2 2026). A 13F lists US long positions 45 days after the quarter ends, so it can be out of date.

What is the analyst price target for TSLA?

The average analyst price target for Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is $396.57 based on 38 analyst estimates, about 3.6% above the current price of $382.70. The published range runs from $128.11 to $600.00.

How much revenue does TSLA generate?

Tesla Inc. reported $103.62B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 25.5% year over year. Net margin sits at 3.7%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.

Compare TSLA with anything

Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.

Tesla Inc. logo