HDconsumer cyclicalnyseupdated 11:16:32 PM

The Home Depot logoThe Home Depot

The Home Depot (HD) is a consumer cyclical company operating in home improvement retail. Results are tied to consumer spending, wage trends, and macro cycle strength. Use this profile to monitor momentum shifts, volatility regime, and valuation signals in one dashboard.

Price

$290.74

-1.60% today

Risk

Medium

23.5% vol · 30d

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Key facts, as of

As of October 11, 2026, The Home Depot (HD) trades at $290.74, down 23.0% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $277.15 to $397.63; the price is 26.9% below that high. It is 33.8% below its all-time high of $439.37, reached in November 2024. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +182.1%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 13.8% below its 200-day average of $337.47, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 23.5% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 20.3 and a dividend yield of 3.21%.

Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "The Home Depot (HD) stock analysis", 2026-10-11. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/hd

01Market

Where it trades today

Market cap

$290.07B

Price / earnings

20.3x

Beta

1.00

swings less than the market

Dividend yield

3.21%

Volume

4.56M

avg 4.35M

50-day average

$317.68

200-day average

$337.47

30-day trend

neutral

52-week range26.9% below the high
low $277.15$290.74high $397.63

trading 11% of the way up its 52-week range

02Price

How the price has moved

30-day price-4.89%
30 days ago$305.69 → $290.74today
1-year performance-25.8%
$304$340$376OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
HD · 52 weeks$391.90 → $290.74
03History

How far it is from its record

All-time high

$439.37

Nov 2024, intraday

From the high

−33.8%

+51.1% to regain it

History from

Jan 1985

monthly, Yahoo Finance

10 years

+182.1%

SPY +312.9%

The Home Depot (HD) is 33.8% below its all-time high of $439.37, reached in November 2024. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +182.1%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

HD since Jan 1985−33.8% from the high
$114$228$342$290.74$439.37 · Nov 20241990200020102020
Month-end closes, split-adjusted · dashed: today
04Decision

What to weigh before acting

decision support3 sources

What Matters Now

  • Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
  • HD is valued near its sector range at 20.3x earnings versus 20.0x for peers, so the next move likely needs a real earnings or guidance catalyst.
  • HD carries a beta of 1.00, which means the stock should be judged on how it affects total portfolio swings, not just on standalone upside.
  • Relative performance versus AMZN, TSLA, NKE matters here because leadership inside consumer cyclical rarely stays static for long.

Portfolio Use Case

  • HD is more relevant for investors who want some income support alongside price appreciation, not just pure growth exposure.
  • The risk profile looks balanced enough for a diversified core-plus portfolio, provided the position size reflects sector concentration.
  • It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.

What Would Change the View

  • A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in HD.
  • The view would need revisiting if peers such as AMZN, TSLA, NKE start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.

Methodology

  • Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for HD come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
  • 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
  • Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
  • Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, TSLA, NKE.

Sources

  • Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →

    Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for HD. Last refresh: Oct 11, 2026, 11:16 PM.

  • Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →

    Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.

  • Peer set and coverage context

    Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, TSLA, NKE.

Editorial note · Written by Portfolio Terminal Research. Template updated 3/24/2026, market data refreshed 10/11/2026, 11:16:32 PM. Built for research and portfolio monitoring, not personalized investment advice.
05About

What The Home Depot does

profile

The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and internationally. It sells various building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and décor products, as well as facilities maintenance, repair, and operations products. The company also offers installation services for flooring, water heaters, baths, garage doors, cabinets, cabinet makeovers, countertops, sheds, furnaces and central air systems, windows, and window coverings. In addition, it provides tool and equipment rental services. The company serves consumers, such as do-it-yourself homeowners and do-it-for-me customers; and professional renovators/remodelers, general…

Employees

470,000

Industry

Home Improvement Retail

Headquarters

Atlanta, United States

06Analyst Consensus

What analysts expect

HD carries a buy consensus from 32 analysts, with an average price target of $379.75 versus $290.74 today (+30.6%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.

Consensus

Buy

Average target

$379.75

$310.00 to $425.00

Upside to target

+30.6%

Analysts covering

32

Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.

07Financial Strength

How the business is doing

HD generated $169.18B in trailing revenue (5.7% year over year), with a 8.4% net margin, and $10.76B of free cash flow, against $61.10B of net debt.

Revenue (TTM)

$169.18B

Net margin

8.4%

Revenue growth

5.7%

Free cash flow

$10.76B

Gross margin

32.8%

Operating margin

12.9%

Return on equity

104.3%

Total cash

$2.08B

Total debt

$63.19B

Earnings growth

4.6%

08Annual Financials

The numbers, year by year

annual financials4 years
Fiscal yearRevenueGross profitOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2026$164.68B$54.87B$20.89B$14.16B$14.26$12.65B
2025$159.51B$53.31B$21.53B$14.81B$14.96$16.32B
2024$152.67B$50.96B$21.69B$15.14B$15.16$17.95B
2023$157.40B$52.78B$24.04B$17.11B$16.74$11.50B
Company filings via Yahoo Finance. Refreshed 10/11/2026.
09Next Earnings

When it reports next

Next report

Nov 17, 2026

EPS estimate

$3.84

Revenue estimate

$42.75B

Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.

10ETFs

Which ETFs hold it

HD is in 10 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLY: 5.08% of the fund, holding #3 of 47.

etfs holding it10 of 30 funds
XLY5.08%#3 of 47SCHD3.82%#10 of 100DIA3.38%#13 of 30VIG1.39%#21 of 333VYM1.31%#14 of 603VTV1.19%#15 of 306VOO0.49%#36 of 505VTI0.44%#35 of 3,503SPY0.44%#38 of 504IVV0.44%#38 of 503
11Investors

Famous investors who hold it

HD is in the latest 13F of 1 of the 15 famous investors we follow. Bill Gates (Gates Foundation Trust) holds the most of it: 1.02% of the portfolio, position #10 of 24, as of Q2 2026.

famous investors1 of 15 13F filers
Bill GatesGates Foundation Trust · Q2 20261.02%#10 of 24
SEC Form 13F, Q2 2026, filed August 14, 2026. Long US positions only, 45 days after the quarter; shares, not options.Every investor we follow →
12Sector

How it sits in consumer cyclical

Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.

versus the sectorHD vs average
metricHDsectorverdict
price / earnings20.3x20.0x↑ 2%
beta1.001.20less volatile
dividend yield3.21%1.20%above average
30-day volatility23.5%26%lower risk
13Peers

The companies it competes with

HD beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.

competitors4 companies
companypricemarket cap
The Home Depot logoHD$290.74$290.07B
Amazon.com Inc. logoAMZN$262.43$2.83TTesla Inc. logoTSLA$382.70$1.51TNike Inc. logoNKE$34.71$51.56B
Any row opens that company's own analysis.
14Technicals

What the chart is saying

In a downtrend, below both moving averages.

downtrend
hd · daily
50-day 318200-day 337resistancesupport
2803003403607030RSI 14 · 41volR 331R 322291MayJunJulAugSepOct
Daily candles · HDLevels are zones where the price turned at least twice in the last year. Last close $290.74 on 2026-10-09.

RSI (14)

41

neutral zone

vs 50-day

−8.5%

avg $317.68

vs 200-day

−13.8%

avg $337.47

From 1-year high

−26.9%

high $397.63 · 2026-02-12

levels and the read23% annualized vol · 30d
resistance$330.91turned here 3×+13.8%
resistance$321.78turned here 4×+10.7%
  • Price is 8.5% below its 50-day average and 13.8% below its 200-day.
  • RSI at 41 is neither stretched nor washed out.
  • The nearest ceiling is $321.78 (+10.7%).

A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.

15Questions

Questions people ask about it

questions9 answered

Is HD a good investment in 2026?

The Home Depot trades at a P/E ratio of 20.3, with medium volatility (23.5% annualized). The stock is in a consolidation phase.

What is the risk level of HD?

Based on 30-day volatility of 23.5%, HD has MEDIUM risk. Beta of 1.00 indicates lower sensitivity to market movements than average.

Does HD pay dividends?

Yes, The Home Depot has a dividend yield of 3.21%.

How far is HD from its all-time high?

The Home Depot is 33.8% below its all-time high of $439.37, reached in November 2024. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +182.1%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

Which ETFs hold HD?

10 of the 30 popular ETFs we track hold The Home Depot. The largest weights: XLY (5.08%), SCHD (3.82%), DIA (3.38%), VIG (1.39%) and VYM (1.31%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to September 24, 2026.

How much of VOO is HD?

0.49%, as of August 31, 2026: HD is holding #36 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $4.93 in The Home Depot.

Which famous investors own HD?

Bill Gates (1.02% of Gates Foundation Trust's 13F), according to their latest Form 13F filings with the SEC (Q2 2026). A 13F lists US long positions 45 days after the quarter ends, so it can be out of date.

What is the analyst price target for HD?

The average analyst price target for The Home Depot (HD) is $379.75 based on 32 analyst estimates, about 30.6% above the current price of $290.74. The published range runs from $310.00 to $425.00.

How much revenue does HD generate?

The Home Depot reported $169.18B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 5.7% year over year. Net margin sits at 8.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.

Compare HD with anything

Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.

The Home Depot logo