Key facts, as of
As of October 7, 2026, Tractor Supply (TSCO) trades at $32.29, down 41.0% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $28.36 to $58.21; the price is 44.5% below that high. It is 49.5% below its all-time high of $63.99, reached in July 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +173.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 18.7% below its 200-day average of $39.70, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 29.3% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 16.8 and a dividend yield of 2.97%.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Tractor Supply (TSCO) stock analysis", 2026-10-07. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/tsco
Where it trades today
trading 13% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
How far it is from its record
Tractor Supply (TSCO) is 49.5% below its all-time high of $63.99, reached in July 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +173.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
- TSCO trades at 16.8x earnings versus 20.0x for the sector, which means the rerating case depends on proving the discount is too harsh.
- TSCO carries a beta of 0.51, which means the stock should be judged on how it affects total portfolio swings, not just on standalone upside.
- TSCO remains in a bearish short-term trend and sits 44.5% below its high, which raises the bar for any thesis that depends on fast multiple expansion.
Portfolio Use Case
- TSCO is more relevant for investors who want some income support alongside price appreciation, not just pure growth exposure.
- The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
- It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.
What Would Change the View
- A recovery in price alone would not be enough to improve the view; the thesis needs confirmation from improving business or valuation signals.
- Volatility is already above the sector norm, so even a correct long-term thesis can be painful if the position size is too aggressive.
- The view would need revisiting if peers such as AMZN, TSLA, HD start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for TSCO come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for TSCO. Last refresh: Oct 7, 2026, 9:55 AM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
What Tractor Supply does
Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company provides various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing,…
What analysts expect
TSCO is tracked by 27 analysts, with an average price target of $35.48 versus $32.29 today (+9.9%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
TSCO generated $15.75B in trailing revenue (2.3% year over year), with a 6.4% net margin, and $103.17M of free cash flow, against $6.31B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $15.52B | $5.65B | $1.47B | $1.10B | $2.07 | $740.49M |
| 2024 | $14.88B | $5.40B | $1.47B | $1.10B | $2.05 | $636.79M |
| 2023 | $14.56B | $5.23B | $1.48B | $1.11B | $2.03 | $580.15M |
| 2022 | $14.20B | $4.97B | $1.43B | $1.09B | $1.96 | $583.61M |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
Which ETFs hold it
TSCO is in 8 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLY: 0.45% of the fund, holding #35 of 47.
How it sits in consumer cyclical
Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.
The companies it competes with
TSCO beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.$256.29$2.76TWhat the chart is saying
In a downtrend, with $31.79 the next floor.
downtrend- Price is 3.7% below its 50-day average and 18.7% below its 200-day.
- RSI at 47 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- The nearest ceiling is $35.97 (+11.4%), the nearest floor $31.79 (-1.5%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is TSCO a good investment in 2026?
Tractor Supply trades at a P/E ratio of 16.8, with medium volatility (29.3% annualized). Recent trend shows weakness.
What is the risk level of TSCO?
Based on 30-day volatility of 29.3%, TSCO has MEDIUM risk. Beta of 0.51 indicates lower sensitivity to market movements than average.
Does TSCO pay dividends?
Yes, Tractor Supply has a dividend yield of 2.97%.
How far is TSCO from its all-time high?
Tractor Supply is 49.5% below its all-time high of $63.99, reached in July 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +173.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
Which ETFs hold TSCO?
8 of the 30 popular ETFs we track hold Tractor Supply. The largest weights: XLY (0.45%), VIG (0.08%), VYM (0.07%), VTV (0.03%) and VOO (0.03%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to September 24, 2026.
How much of VOO is TSCO?
0.03%, as of August 31, 2026: TSCO is holding #402 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $0.28 in Tractor Supply.
What is the analyst price target for TSCO?
The average analyst price target for Tractor Supply (TSCO) is $35.48 based on 27 analyst estimates, about 9.9% above the current price of $32.29. The published range runs from $28.00 to $42.00.
How much revenue does TSCO generate?
Tractor Supply reported $15.75B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 2.3% year over year. Net margin sits at 6.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare TSCO with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.