TSCOconsumer cyclicalnasdaqgsupdated 10:56:40 PM

TSTractor Supply

Tractor Supply (TSCO) is a consumer cyclical company operating in specialty retail. Results are tied to consumer spending, wage trends, and macro cycle strength. Follow price action, market risk, and comparative valuation signals to support portfolio decisions.

Price

$32.21

-1.86% today

Risk

Medium

24.2% vol · 30d

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01Market

Where it trades today

Market cap

$16.78B

Price / earnings

16.8x

Beta

0.47

swings less than the market

Dividend yield

2.93%

Volume

14.85M

avg 10.69M

50-day average

$33.15

200-day average

$41.08

30-day trend

bearish

52-week range46.5% below the high
low $28.36$32.21high $60.15

trading 12% of the way up its 52-week range

02Price

How the price has moved

30-day price-7.23%
30 days ago$34.72 → $32.21today
1-year performance-46.0%
$37$45$54SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
TSCO · 52 weeks$59.66 → $32.21
03Decision

What to weigh before acting

decision support3 sources

What Matters Now

  • Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
  • TSCO trades at 16.8x earnings versus 20.0x for the sector, which means the rerating case depends on proving the discount is too harsh.
  • TSCO carries a beta of 0.47, which means the stock should be judged on how it affects total portfolio swings, not just on standalone upside.
  • TSCO remains in a bearish short-term trend and sits 46.5% below its high, which raises the bar for any thesis that depends on fast multiple expansion.

Portfolio Use Case

  • TSCO is more relevant for investors who want some income support alongside price appreciation, not just pure growth exposure.
  • The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
  • It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.

What Would Change the View

  • A recovery in price alone would not be enough to improve the view; the thesis needs confirmation from improving business or valuation signals.
  • The view would need revisiting if peers such as AMZN, TSLA, HD start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.

Methodology

  • Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for TSCO come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
  • 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
  • Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
  • Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.

Sources

  • Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →

    Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for TSCO. Last refresh: Sep 18, 2026, 10:56 PM.

  • Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →

    Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.

  • Peer set and coverage context

    Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.

Editorial note · Written by Portfolio Terminal Research. Template updated 3/24/2026, market data refreshed 9/18/2026, 10:56:40 PM. Built for research and portfolio monitoring, not personalized investment advice.
04About

What Tractor Supply does

profile

Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company provides various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing,…

Employees

54,000

Industry

Specialty Retail

Headquarters

Brentwood, United States

05Analyst Consensus

What analysts expect

TSCO carries a buy consensus from 27 analysts, with an average price target of $35.48 versus $32.21 today (+10.2%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.

Consensus

Buy

Average target

$35.48

$28.00 to $42.00

Upside to target

+10.2%

Analysts covering

27

Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.

06Financial Strength

How the business is doing

TSCO generated $15.75B in trailing revenue (2.3% year over year), with a 6.4% net margin, and $103.17M of free cash flow, against $6.31B of net debt.

Revenue (TTM)

$15.75B

Net margin

6.4%

Revenue growth

2.3%

Free cash flow

$103.17M

Gross margin

36.5%

Operating margin

12.1%

Return on equity

39.5%

Total cash

$231.59M

Total debt

$6.54B

Earnings growth

-15.0%

07Annual Financials

The numbers, year by year

annual financials4 years
Fiscal yearRevenueGross profitOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2025$15.52B$5.65B$1.47B$1.10B$2.07$740.49M
2024$14.88B$5.40B$1.47B$1.10B$2.05$636.79M
2023$14.56B$5.23B$1.48B$1.11B$2.03$580.15M
2022$14.20B$4.97B$1.43B$1.09B$1.96$583.61M
Company filings via Yahoo Finance. Refreshed 9/18/2026.
08Next Earnings

When it reports next

Next report

Oct 22, 2026

EPS estimate

$0.40

Revenue estimate

$3.80B

Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.

09Sector

How it sits in consumer cyclical

Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.

versus the sectorTSCO vs average
metricTSCOsectorverdict
price / earnings16.8x20.0x↓ 16%
beta0.471.20less volatile
dividend yield2.93%1.20%above average
30-day volatility24.2%26%lower risk
10Peers

The companies it competes with

TSCO beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.

competitors4 companies
companypricemarket cap
TSTSCO$32.21$16.78B
Amazon.com Inc. logoAMZN$253.71$2.74TTesla Inc. logoTSLA$364.27$1.44TThe Home Depot logoHD$299.98$299.29B
Any row opens that company's own analysis.
11Technicals

What the chart is saying

technicals30-day window

Tractor Supply trades at $32.21, 46.5% below its 52-week high. With a beta of 0.47, it shows less sensitivity to what the wider market does.

rsi (14)oversold
30-day trendbearish
volume14.8Mabove average
12Questions

Questions people ask about it

questions5 answered

Is TSCO a good buy right now?

Tractor Supply trades at 16.8x earnings. This is near market average. Current risk level is Medium based on 24.2% volatility.

Does TSCO pay dividends?

Yes, Tractor Supply offers a dividend yield of 2.93%. That is roughly $0.94 per share a year.

How volatile is TSCO?

With 30-day annualized volatility of 24.2% and beta of 0.47, TSCO is classified as Medium risk. The stock tends to be more stable than the market average.

What is the analyst price target for TSCO?

The average analyst price target for Tractor Supply (TSCO) is $35.48 based on 27 analyst estimates, about 10.2% above the current price of $32.21. The published range runs from $28.00 to $42.00.

How much revenue does TSCO generate?

Tractor Supply reported $15.75B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 2.3% year over year. Net margin sits at 6.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.