ORLYconsumer cyclicalnasdaqgsupdated 10:10:32 AM

O'Reilly Automotive logoO'Reilly Automotive

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is a consumer cyclical company operating in specialty retail. Results are tied to consumer spending, wage trends, and macro cycle strength. Follow price action, market risk, and comparative valuation signals to support portfolio decisions.

Price

$84.61

-0.62% today

Risk

Medium

21.0% vol · 30d

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Key facts, as of

As of October 8, 2026, O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) trades at $84.61, down 16.9% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $82.59 to $104.06; the price is 18.7% below that high. It is 22.2% below its all-time high of $108.72, reached in September 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +357.4%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 6.9% below its 200-day average of $90.83, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 21.0% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 26.9.

Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) stock analysis", 2026-10-08. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/orly

01Market

Where it trades today

Market cap

$68.45B

Price / earnings

26.9x

Beta

0.54

swings less than the market

Dividend yield

none

Volume

6.67M

avg 6.31M

50-day average

$88.07

200-day average

$90.83

30-day trend

neutral

52-week rangenear the bottom of its year
low $82.59$84.61high $104.06

trading 9% of the way up its 52-week range

02Price

How the price has moved

30-day price-1.49%
30 days ago$85.89 → $84.61today
1-year performance-17.2%
$87$94$101OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
ORLY · 52 weeks$102.15 → $84.61
03History

How far it is from its record

All-time high

$108.72

Sep 2025, intraday

From the high

−22.2%

+28.5% to regain it

History from

Apr 1993

monthly, Yahoo Finance

10 years

+357.4%

SPY +312.9%

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is 22.2% below its all-time high of $108.72, reached in September 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +357.4%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

ORLY since Apr 1993−22.2% from the high
$28$56$84.61$108.72 · Sep 2025200020102020
Month-end closes, split-adjusted · dashed: today
04Decision

What to weigh before acting

decision support3 sources

What Matters Now

  • Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
  • ORLY trades at 26.9x earnings, well above the consumer cyclical average of 20.0x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
  • Recent realized volatility sits near 21.0%, below the sector norm of 26.0%, which supports a steadier role inside a diversified portfolio.
  • Relative performance versus AMZN, TSLA, HD matters here because leadership inside consumer cyclical rarely stays static for long.

Portfolio Use Case

  • ORLY is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside consumer cyclical than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
  • The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
  • It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.

What Would Change the View

  • A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in ORLY.
  • There is little income cushion here, so total return depends mainly on price appreciation and execution staying on track.
  • The view would need revisiting if peers such as AMZN, TSLA, HD start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.

Methodology

  • Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for ORLY come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
  • 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
  • Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
  • Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.

Sources

  • Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →

    Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for ORLY. Last refresh: Oct 8, 2026, 10:10 AM.

  • Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →

    Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.

  • Peer set and coverage context

    Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.

Editorial note · Written by Portfolio Terminal Research. Template updated 3/24/2026, market data refreshed 10/8/2026, 10:10:32 AM. Built for research and portfolio monitoring, not personalized investment advice.
05About

What O'Reilly Automotive does

profile

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. The company offers new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting products, and oil and wiper blades; and accessories, including floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. It also provides auto…

Employees

95,822

Industry

Auto Parts

Headquarters

Springfield, United States

06Analyst Consensus

What analysts expect

ORLY carries a buy consensus from 26 analysts, with an average price target of $107.35 versus $84.61 today (+26.9%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.

Consensus

Buy

Average target

$107.35

$91.00 to $120.00

Upside to target

+26.9%

Analysts covering

26

Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.

07Financial Strength

How the business is doing

ORLY generated $18.57B in trailing revenue (8.1% year over year), with a 14.3% net margin, and $1.57B of free cash flow, against $9.33B of net debt.

Revenue (TTM)

$18.57B

Net margin

14.3%

Revenue growth

8.1%

Free cash flow

$1.57B

Gross margin

51.6%

Operating margin

20.2%

Return on equity

N/A

Total cash

$262.18M

Total debt

$9.59B

Earnings growth

10.3%

08Annual Financials

The numbers, year by year

annual financials4 years
Fiscal yearRevenueGross profitOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2025$17.78B$9.17B$3.46B$2.54B$2.98$1.59B
2024$16.71B$8.55B$3.25B$2.39B$2.73$2.03B
2023$15.81B$8.10B$3.19B$2.35B$2.59$2.03B
2022$14.41B$7.38B$2.95B$2.17B$2.25$2.58B
Company filings via Yahoo Finance. Refreshed 10/8/2026.
09Next Earnings

When it reports next

Next report

Oct 28, 2026

EPS estimate

$0.93

Revenue estimate

$5.00B

Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.

10ETFs

Which ETFs hold it

ORLY is in 8 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLY: 1.92% of the fund, holding #14 of 47.

etfs holding it8 of 30 funds
XLY1.92%#14 of 47QQQ0.29%#64 of 101QQQM0.29%#64 of 102VUG0.21%#60 of 147VOO0.11%#162 of 505SPY0.11%#167 of 504IVV0.10%#167 of 503VTI0.10%#165 of 3,503
11Investors

Famous investors who hold it

ORLY is in the latest 13F of 1 of the 15 famous investors we follow. Terry Smith (Fundsmith) holds the most of it: 0.11% of the portfolio, position #36 of 41, as of Q2 2026.

famous investors1 of 15 13F filers
Terry SmithFundsmith · Q2 20260.11%#36 of 41
SEC Form 13F, Q2 2026, filed August 14, 2026. Long US positions only, 45 days after the quarter; shares, not options.Every investor we follow →
12Sector

How it sits in consumer cyclical

Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.

versus the sectorORLY vs average
metricORLYsectorverdict
price / earnings26.9x20.0x↑ 34%
beta0.541.20less volatile
dividend yield0.00%1.20%below average
30-day volatility21.0%26%lower risk
13Peers

The companies it competes with

ORLY beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.

competitors4 companies
companypricemarket cap
O'Reilly Automotive logoORLY$84.61$68.45B
Amazon.com Inc. logoAMZN$259.92$2.80TTesla Inc. logoTSLA$377.81$1.49TThe Home Depot logoHD$285.77$285.11B
Any row opens that company's own analysis.
14Technicals

What the chart is saying

In a downtrend, with $82.71 the next floor.

downtrend
orly · daily
50-day 88.07200-day 90.83resistancesupport
95.001007030RSI 14 · 43volR 90.24R 87.39S 82.7184.61MayJunJulAugSepOct
Daily candles · ORLYLevels are zones where the price turned at least twice in the last year. Last close $84.61 on 2026-10-07.

RSI (14)

43

neutral zone

vs 50-day

−3.9%

avg $88.07

vs 200-day

−6.9%

avg $90.83

From 1-year high

−18.7%

high $104.06 · 2025-10-14

levels and the read20% annualized vol · 30d
resistance$90.24turned here 6×+6.7%
resistance$87.39turned here 4×+3.3%
support$82.71turned here 3×−2.2%
  • Price is 3.9% below its 50-day average and 6.9% below its 200-day.
  • RSI at 43 is neither stretched nor washed out.
  • The nearest ceiling is $87.39 (+3.3%), the nearest floor $82.71 (-2.2%).

A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.

15Questions

Questions people ask about it

questions9 answered

Is ORLY a good investment in 2026?

O'Reilly Automotive trades at a P/E ratio of 26.9, with medium volatility (21.0% annualized). The stock is in a consolidation phase.

What is the risk level of ORLY?

Based on 30-day volatility of 21.0%, ORLY has MEDIUM risk. Beta of 0.54 indicates lower sensitivity to market movements than average.

Does ORLY pay dividends?

O'Reilly Automotive currently does not pay a regular dividend.

How far is ORLY from its all-time high?

O'Reilly Automotive is 22.2% below its all-time high of $108.72, reached in September 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +357.4%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

Which ETFs hold ORLY?

8 of the 30 popular ETFs we track hold O'Reilly Automotive. The largest weights: XLY (1.92%), QQQ (0.29%), QQQM (0.29%), VUG (0.21%) and VOO (0.11%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to October 1, 2026.

How much of VOO is ORLY?

0.11%, as of August 31, 2026: ORLY is holding #162 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $1.11 in O'Reilly Automotive.

Which famous investors own ORLY?

Terry Smith (0.11% of Fundsmith's 13F), according to their latest Form 13F filings with the SEC (Q2 2026). A 13F lists US long positions 45 days after the quarter ends, so it can be out of date.

What is the analyst price target for ORLY?

The average analyst price target for O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is $107.35 based on 26 analyst estimates, about 26.9% above the current price of $84.61. The published range runs from $91.00 to $120.00.

How much revenue does ORLY generate?

O'Reilly Automotive reported $18.57B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 8.1% year over year. Net margin sits at 14.3%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.

Compare ORLY with anything

Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.

O'Reilly Automotive logo