Where it trades today
trading 50% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
- HLT trades at 44.9x earnings, well above the consumer cyclical average of 20.0x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
- Recent realized volatility sits near 18.9%, below the sector norm of 26.0%, which supports a steadier role inside a diversified portfolio.
- HLT remains in a bearish short-term trend and sits 14.6% below its high, which raises the bar for any thesis that depends on fast multiple expansion.
Portfolio Use Case
- HLT is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside consumer cyclical than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
- The risk profile looks balanced enough for a diversified core-plus portfolio, provided the position size reflects sector concentration.
- It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in HLT.
- A recovery in price alone would not be enough to improve the view; the thesis needs confirmation from improving business or valuation signals.
- The view would need revisiting if peers such as AMZN, TSLA, HD start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for HLT come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for HLT. Last refresh: Sep 18, 2026, 10:56 PM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
What Hilton Worldwide does
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks. It operates a brand portfolio of luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites hotel, and timeshare under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, LXR Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts, Signia by Hilton, NoMad, Canopy by Hilton, Graduate by Hilton, Tempo by Hilton, Motto by Hilton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree by Hilton, Curio Collection by Hilton, Tapestry Collection…
What analysts expect
HLT carries a buy consensus from 26 analysts, with an average price target of $353.00 versus $305.73 today (+15.5%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
HLT generated $5.10B in trailing revenue (2.5% year over year), with a 31.0% net margin, and $1.39B of free cash flow, against $13.01B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $12.04B | $3.40B | $2.69B | $1.46B | $6.18 | $1.94B |
| 2024 | $11.17B | $3.06B | $2.37B | $1.53B | $6.20 | $1.81B |
| 2023 | $10.23B | $2.93B | $2.26B | $1.14B | $4.36 | $1.70B |
| 2022 | $8.77B | $2.70B | $2.09B | $1.25B | $4.56 | $1.58B |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
How it sits in consumer cyclical
Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.
The companies it competes with
HLT beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.$253.71$2.74TWhat the chart is saying
Hilton Worldwide trades at $305.73, 14.6% below its 52-week high. With a beta of 1.06, it shows about average sensitivity to what the wider market does.
Questions people ask about it
Is HLT a good buy right now?
Hilton Worldwide trades at 44.9x earnings. This is above market average, reflecting growth expectations. Current risk level is Medium based on 18.9% volatility.
Does HLT pay dividends?
Yes, Hilton Worldwide offers a dividend yield of 0.20%. That is roughly $0.61 per share a year.
How volatile is HLT?
With 30-day annualized volatility of 18.9% and beta of 1.06, HLT is classified as Medium risk. Expect larger swings than the broader market during volatile periods.
What is the analyst price target for HLT?
The average analyst price target for Hilton Worldwide (HLT) is $353.00 based on 26 analyst estimates, about 15.5% above the current price of $305.73. The published range runs from $270.00 to $394.00.
How much revenue does HLT generate?
Hilton Worldwide reported $5.10B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 2.5% year over year. Net margin sits at 31.0%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.