COSTconsumer defensivenasdaqgsupdated 11:25:17 PM

Costco Wholesale logoCostco Wholesale

Costco Wholesale (COST) is a consumer defensive company operating in discount stores. Demand is typically resilient, with margin discipline and pricing power as key drivers. This analysis page tracks valuation context, trend strength, and downside risk over time.

Price

$946.92

-0.11% today

Risk

Medium

16.0% vol · 30d

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Key facts, as of

As of October 11, 2026, Costco Wholesale (COST) trades at $946.92, up 0.4% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $844.06 to $1,096.50; the price is 13.6% below that high. It is 13.6% below its all-time high of $1,096.50, reached in May 2026. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +606.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 1.7% below its 200-day average of $963.47, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 16.0% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 45.6 and a dividend yield of 0.62%.

Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Costco Wholesale (COST) stock analysis", 2026-10-11. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/cost

01Market

Where it trades today

Market cap

$419.61B

Price / earnings

45.6x

Beta

0.87

swings less than the market

Dividend yield

0.62%

Volume

1.50M

avg 2.07M

50-day average

$931.43

200-day average

$963.47

30-day trend

neutral

52-week range13.6% below the high
low $844.06$946.92high $1,096.50

trading 41% of the way up its 52-week range

02Price

How the price has moved

30-day price+4.94%
30 days ago$902.38 → $946.92today
1-year performance+1.1%
$884$957$1029OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
COST · 52 weeks$936.33 → $946.92
03History

How far it is from its record

All-time high

$1,096.50

May 2026, intraday

From the high

−13.6%

+15.8% to regain it

History from

Jul 1986

monthly, Yahoo Finance

10 years

+606.6%

SPY +312.9%

Costco Wholesale (COST) is 13.6% below its all-time high of $1,096.50, reached in May 2026. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +606.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

COST since Jul 1986−13.6% from the high
$285$570$946.92$1,096.50 · May 20261990200020102020
Month-end closes, split-adjusted · dashed: today
04Decision

What to weigh before acting

decision support3 sources

What Matters Now

  • The key question is whether steady demand and pricing discipline can protect margins even if growth stays modest.
  • COST trades at 45.6x earnings, well above the consumer defensive average of 21.0x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
  • COST carries a beta of 0.87, which means the stock should be judged on how it affects total portfolio swings, not just on standalone upside.
  • Relative performance versus PG, KO, PEP matters here because leadership inside consumer defensive rarely stays static for long.

Portfolio Use Case

  • COST is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside consumer defensive than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
  • The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
  • This page is most useful for deciding whether the stock deserves a permanent slot in the portfolio or just a place on the watchlist.

What Would Change the View

  • A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in COST.
  • The view would need revisiting if peers such as PG, KO, PEP start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.

Methodology

  • Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for COST come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
  • 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
  • Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Defensive so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
  • Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as PG, KO, PEP.

Sources

  • Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →

    Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for COST. Last refresh: Oct 11, 2026, 11:25 PM.

  • Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →

    Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.

  • Peer set and coverage context

    Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as PG, KO, PEP.

Editorial note · Written by Portfolio Terminal Research. Template updated 3/24/2026, market data refreshed 10/11/2026, 11:25:17 PM. Built for research and portfolio monitoring, not personalized investment advice.
05About

What Costco Wholesale does

profile

Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Sweden, Iceland, and New Zealand. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising consumer electronics, appliances, small electrics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat,…

Employees

355,000

Industry

Discount Stores

Headquarters

Issaquah, United States

06Analyst Consensus

What analysts expect

COST carries a buy consensus from 35 analysts, with an average price target of $1060.80 versus $946.92 today (+12.0%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.

Consensus

Buy

Average target

$1060.80

$770.00 to $1315.00

Upside to target

+12.0%

Analysts covering

35

Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.

07Financial Strength

How the business is doing

COST generated $303.15B in trailing revenue (11.1% year over year), with a 3.0% net margin, and $6.75B of free cash flow, supported by $11.12B of net cash.

Revenue (TTM)

$303.15B

Net margin

3.0%

Revenue growth

11.1%

Free cash flow

$6.75B

Gross margin

12.8%

Operating margin

3.8%

Return on equity

28.4%

Total cash

$21.30B

Total debt

$10.18B

Earnings growth

15.0%

08Annual Financials

The numbers, year by year

annual financials4 years
Fiscal yearRevenueGross profitOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2025$275.24B$35.35B$10.38B$8.10B$18.24$7.84B
2024$254.45B$32.09B$9.29B$7.37B$16.59$6.63B
2023$242.29B$29.70B$8.11B$6.29B$14.18$6.75B
2022$226.95B$27.57B$7.79B$5.84B$13.17$3.50B
Company filings via Yahoo Finance. Refreshed 10/11/2026.
09Next Earnings

When it reports next

Next report

Dec 10, 2026

EPS estimate

$4.94

Revenue estimate

$74.13B

Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.

10ETFs

Which ETFs hold it

COST is in 10 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLP: 8.93% of the fund, holding #2 of 33.

etfs holding it10 of 30 funds
XLP8.93%#2 of 33VIG1.79%#13 of 333QQQM1.69%#19 of 102QQQ1.66%#17 of 101JEPI1.21%#24 of 119VUG1.14%#14 of 147VOO0.63%#24 of 505SPY0.60%#25 of 504IVV0.60%#25 of 503VTI0.57%#21 of 3,503
11Investors

Famous investors who hold it

COST is in the latest 13F of 1 of the 15 famous investors we follow. Ray Dalio (Bridgewater Associates) holds the most of it: 0.10% of the portfolio, position #165 of 992, as of Q2 2026.

famous investors1 of 15 13F filers
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates · Q2 20260.10%#165 of 992
SEC Form 13F, Q2 2026, filed August 14, 2026. Long US positions only, 45 days after the quarter; shares, not options.Every investor we follow →
12Sector

How it sits in consumer defensive

Stable sector with essential products like food, beverages, and household goods.

versus the sectorCOST vs average
metricCOSTsectorverdict
price / earnings45.6x21.0x↑ 117%
beta0.870.65more volatile
dividend yield0.62%2.80%below average
30-day volatility16.0%18%lower risk
13Peers

The companies it competes with

COST beside the consumer defensive names it is usually measured against.

competitors4 companies
companypricemarket cap
Costco Wholesale logoCOST$946.92$419.61B
Procter & Gamble logoPG$151.23$351.26BCoca-Cola Company logoKO$88.05$378.84BPepsiCo Inc. logoPEP$125.97$171.66B
Any row opens that company's own analysis.
14Technicals

What the chart is saying

Back above its 50-day average, still under the long-term trend.

recovering
cost · daily
50-day 931200-day 963resistancesupport
900105011007030RSI 14 · 62volR 989R 968S 939S 921947MayJunJulAugSepOct
Daily candles · COSTLevels are zones where the price turned at least twice in the last year. Last close $946.92 on 2026-10-09.

RSI (14)

62

neutral zone

vs 50-day

+1.7%

avg $931.43

vs 200-day

−1.7%

avg $963.47

From 1-year high

−13.6%

high $1,097 · 2026-05-19

levels and the read15% annualized vol · 30d
resistance$989.24turned here 5×+4.5%
resistance$968.16turned here 8×+2.2%
support$938.95turned here 3×−0.8%
support$920.86turned here 8×−2.8%
  • Price is 1.7% above its 50-day average and 1.7% below its 200-day.
  • The 50-day crossed below the 200-day on 2026-08-03 (a “death cross”).
  • RSI at 62 is neither stretched nor washed out.
  • The nearest ceiling is $968.16 (+2.2%), the nearest floor $938.95 (-0.8%).

A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.

15Questions

Questions people ask about it

questions9 answered

Is COST a good investment in 2026?

Costco Wholesale trades at a P/E ratio of 45.6, with medium volatility (16.0% annualized). The stock is in a consolidation phase.

What is the risk level of COST?

Based on 30-day volatility of 16.0%, COST has MEDIUM risk. Beta of 0.87 indicates lower sensitivity to market movements than average.

Does COST pay dividends?

Yes, Costco Wholesale has a dividend yield of 0.62%.

How far is COST from its all-time high?

Costco Wholesale is 13.6% below its all-time high of $1,096.50, reached in May 2026. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +606.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

Which ETFs hold COST?

10 of the 30 popular ETFs we track hold Costco Wholesale. The largest weights: XLP (8.93%), VIG (1.79%), QQQM (1.69%), QQQ (1.66%) and JEPI (1.21%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to October 1, 2026.

How much of VOO is COST?

0.63%, as of August 31, 2026: COST is holding #24 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $6.33 in Costco Wholesale.

Which famous investors own COST?

Ray Dalio (0.10% of Bridgewater Associates's 13F), according to their latest Form 13F filings with the SEC (Q2 2026). A 13F lists US long positions 45 days after the quarter ends, so it can be out of date.

What is the analyst price target for COST?

The average analyst price target for Costco Wholesale (COST) is $1060.80 based on 35 analyst estimates, about 12.0% above the current price of $946.92. The published range runs from $770.00 to $1315.00.

How much revenue does COST generate?

Costco Wholesale reported $303.15B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 11.1% year over year. Net margin sits at 3.0%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.

Compare COST with anything

Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.

Costco Wholesale logo