Key facts, as of
As of October 13, 2026, Valero Energy (VLO) trades at $436.00, up 175.9% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $155.29 to $449.77; the price is 3.1% below that high. It is 3.1% below its all-time high of $449.77, reached in October 2026. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +972.8%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 62.5% above its 200-day average of $268.28, the usual sign of a long-term uptrend. Its 30-day volatility is 39.8% annualized, which we rate high risk. It has a trailing P/E of 18.3 and a dividend yield of 1.10%.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Valero Energy (VLO) stock analysis", 2026-10-13. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/vlo
Where it trades today
trading 95% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
How far it is from its record
Valero Energy (VLO) is 3.1% below its all-time high of $449.77, reached in October 2026. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +972.8%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Capital discipline and commodity sensitivity matter more than top-line momentum because cash flow can swing quickly with the cycle.
- VLO trades at 18.3x earnings, well above the energy average of 10.5x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
- Recent realized volatility is running around 39.8%, above the sector norm of 32.0%, so position sizing matters more than usual.
- VLO is in a bullish short-term regime and only 3.1% below its 52-week high, so the question is whether fundamentals can keep pace with that stronger tape.
Portfolio Use Case
- VLO is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside energy than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
- The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
- This page is most useful for deciding whether the stock deserves a permanent slot in the portfolio or just a place on the watchlist.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in VLO.
- If the short-term trend rolls over while volume fades, the market may stop paying up for momentum before the fundamentals change.
- Volatility is already above the sector norm, so even a correct long-term thesis can be painful if the position size is too aggressive.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for VLO come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Energy so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as XOM, CVX, COP.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for VLO. Last refresh: Oct 13, 2026, 9:18 AM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as XOM, CVX, COP.
What Valero Energy does
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products…
Employees
9,785
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Headquarters
San Antonio, United States
What analysts expect
VLO carries a buy consensus from 19 analysts, with an average price target of $391.89 versus $436.00 today (-10.1%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
VLO generated $132.43B in trailing revenue (51.7% year over year), with a 5.4% net margin, and $8.42B of free cash flow, against $3.48B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $122.69B | $5.37B | $4.31B | $2.35B | $7.57 | $5.03B |
| 2024 | $129.88B | $4.76B | $3.75B | $2.77B | $8.58 | $5.78B |
| 2023 | $144.77B | $12.89B | $11.86B | $8.84B | $24.93 | $8.32B |
| 2022 | $176.38B | $16.75B | $15.75B | $11.53B | $29.05 | $10.89B |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
Which ETFs hold it
VLO is in 7 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLE: 4.59% of the fund, holding #4 of 21.
Famous investors who hold it
VLO is in the latest 13F of 1 of the 15 famous investors we follow. Ray Dalio (Bridgewater Associates) holds the most of it: 0.30% of the portfolio, position #52 of 992, as of Q2 2026.
How it sits in energy
Volatile sector tied to oil and gas prices, includes exploration, production, and refining.
The companies it competes with
VLO beside the energy names it is usually measured against.
What the chart is saying
In an uptrend, 3.1% under its 1-year high with no resistance above.
uptrend- Price is 17.8% above its 50-day average and 62.5% above its 200-day.
- RSI at 70 is overbought: strong momentum, and stretched.
- Nothing above has stopped it this year; the nearest floor is $292.83 (-32.8%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is VLO a good investment in 2026?
Valero Energy trades at a P/E ratio of 18.3, with high volatility (39.8% annualized). Recent momentum is positive.
What is the risk level of VLO?
Based on 30-day volatility of 39.8%, VLO has HIGH risk. Beta of 0.59 indicates lower sensitivity to market movements than average.
Does VLO pay dividends?
Yes, Valero Energy has a dividend yield of 1.10%.
How far is VLO from its all-time high?
Valero Energy is 3.1% below its all-time high of $449.77, reached in October 2026. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +972.8%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
Which ETFs hold VLO?
7 of the 30 popular ETFs we track hold Valero Energy. The largest weights: XLE (4.59%), VYM (0.43%), VTV (0.39%), SPY (0.17%) and IVV (0.17%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to September 24, 2026.
How much of VOO is VLO?
0.16%, as of August 31, 2026: VLO is holding #110 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $1.61 in Valero Energy.
Which famous investors own VLO?
Ray Dalio (0.30% of Bridgewater Associates's 13F), according to their latest Form 13F filings with the SEC (Q2 2026). A 13F lists US long positions 45 days after the quarter ends, so it can be out of date.
What is the analyst price target for VLO?
The average analyst price target for Valero Energy (VLO) is $391.89 based on 19 analyst estimates, about 10.1% below the current price of $436.00. The published range runs from $238.00 to $496.00.
How much revenue does VLO generate?
Valero Energy reported $132.43B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 51.7% year over year. Net margin sits at 5.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare VLO with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.