MPCenergynyseupdated 10:56:21 PM

MPMarathon Petroleum

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is a energy company operating in oil & gas refining & marketing. Cash flows usually follow commodity prices, production discipline, and capital allocation quality. This analysis page tracks valuation context, trend strength, and downside risk over time.

Price

$424.89

+0.69% today

Risk

Medium

21.6% vol · 30d

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01Market

Where it trades today

Market cap

$119.32B

Price / earnings

14.7x

Beta

0.53

swings less than the market

Dividend yield

0.95%

Volume

9.85M

avg 2.35M

50-day average

$344.23

200-day average

$250.12

30-day trend

bullish

52-week rangenear the top of its year
low $161.93$424.89high $428.00

trading 99% of the way up its 52-week range

02Price

How the price has moved

30-day price+16.02%
30 days ago$366.21 → $424.89today
1-year performance+129.1%
$228$301$373SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug
MPC · 52 weeks$185.46 → $424.89
03Decision

What to weigh before acting

decision support3 sources

What Matters Now

  • Capital discipline and commodity sensitivity matter more than top-line momentum because cash flow can swing quickly with the cycle.
  • MPC trades at 14.7x earnings, well above the energy average of 10.5x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
  • Recent realized volatility sits near 21.6%, below the sector norm of 32.0%, which supports a steadier role inside a diversified portfolio.
  • MPC is in a bullish short-term regime and only 0.7% below its 52-week high, so the question is whether fundamentals can keep pace with that stronger tape.

Portfolio Use Case

  • MPC is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside energy than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
  • The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
  • This page is most useful for deciding whether the stock deserves a permanent slot in the portfolio or just a place on the watchlist.

What Would Change the View

  • A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in MPC.
  • If the short-term trend rolls over while volume fades, the market may stop paying up for momentum before the fundamentals change.
  • The view would need revisiting if peers such as XOM, CVX, COP start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.

Methodology

  • Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for MPC come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
  • 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
  • Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Energy so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
  • Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as XOM, CVX, COP.

Sources

  • Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →

    Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for MPC. Last refresh: Sep 18, 2026, 10:56 PM.

  • Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →

    Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.

  • Peer set and coverage context

    Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as XOM, CVX, COP.

Editorial note · Written by Portfolio Terminal Research. Template updated 3/24/2026, market data refreshed 9/18/2026, 10:56:21 PM. Built for research and portfolio monitoring, not personalized investment advice.
04About

What Marathon Petroleum does

profile

Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and…

Employees

18,500

Industry

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Headquarters

Findlay, United States

05Analyst Consensus

What analysts expect

MPC carries a buy consensus from 18 analysts, with an average price target of $370.17 versus $424.89 today (-12.9%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.

Consensus

Buy

Average target

$370.17

$236.00 to $462.00

Upside to target

-12.9%

Analysts covering

18

Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.

06Financial Strength

How the business is doing

MPC generated $154.15B in trailing revenue (53.7% year over year), with a 5.5% net margin, and $9.25B of free cash flow, against $26.52B of net debt.

Revenue (TTM)

$154.15B

Net margin

5.5%

Revenue growth

53.7%

Free cash flow

$9.25B

Gross margin

12.8%

Operating margin

13.6%

Return on equity

42.1%

Total cash

$7.77B

Total debt

$34.29B

Earnings growth

348.0%

07Annual Financials

The numbers, year by year

annual financials4 years
Fiscal yearRevenueGross profitOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2025$132.70B$10.00B$5.77B$4.05B$13.24$4.77B
2024$138.86B$9.29B$5.25B$3.44B$10.11$6.13B
2023$148.38B$16.51B$12.59B$9.68B$23.73$12.23B
2022$177.45B$22.57B$18.97B$14.52B$28.31$13.94B
Company filings via Yahoo Finance. Refreshed 9/18/2026.
08Next Earnings

When it reports next

Next report

Nov 3, 2026

EPS estimate

$21.80

Revenue estimate

$41.87B

Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.

09Sector

How it sits in energy

Volatile sector tied to oil and gas prices, includes exploration, production, and refining.

versus the sectorMPC vs average
metricMPCsectorverdict
price / earnings14.7x10.5x↑ 40%
beta0.531.30less volatile
dividend yield0.95%3.50%below average
30-day volatility21.6%32%lower risk
10Peers

The companies it competes with

MPC beside the energy names it is usually measured against.

competitors4 companies
companypricemarket cap
MPMPC$424.89$119.32B
XOXOM$163.54$672.46BCVCVX$209.51$410.98BCOCOP$131.83$158.37B
Any row opens that company's own analysis.
11Technicals

What the chart is saying

technicals30-day window

Marathon Petroleum trades at $424.89, 0.7% below its 52-week high. With a beta of 0.53, it shows less sensitivity to what the wider market does.

rsi (14)overbought
30-day trendbullish
volume9.9Mabove average
12Questions

Questions people ask about it

questions5 answered

Is MPC a good buy right now?

Marathon Petroleum trades at 14.7x earnings. This is below market average, potentially undervalued. Current risk level is Medium based on 21.6% volatility.

Does MPC pay dividends?

Yes, Marathon Petroleum offers a dividend yield of 0.95%. That is roughly $4.04 per share a year.

How volatile is MPC?

With 30-day annualized volatility of 21.6% and beta of 0.53, MPC is classified as Medium risk. The stock tends to be more stable than the market average.

What is the analyst price target for MPC?

The average analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is $370.17 based on 18 analyst estimates, about 12.9% below the current price of $424.89. The published range runs from $236.00 to $462.00.

How much revenue does MPC generate?

Marathon Petroleum reported $154.15B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 53.7% year over year. Net margin sits at 5.5%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.