Where it trades today
trading 36% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Demand sensitivity, pricing power, and how exposed the business is to macro slowdowns matter more than headline growth alone.
- CMG trades at 31.0x earnings, well above the consumer cyclical average of 20.0x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
- Recent realized volatility is running around 38.9%, above the sector norm of 26.0%, so position sizing matters more than usual.
- Relative performance versus AMZN, TSLA, HD matters here because leadership inside consumer cyclical rarely stays static for long.
Portfolio Use Case
- CMG is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside consumer cyclical than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
- The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
- It is best monitored alongside valuation discipline, because strong narratives in consumer cyclical can stay expensive longer than expected.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in CMG.
- Volatility is already above the sector norm, so even a correct long-term thesis can be painful if the position size is too aggressive.
- There is little income cushion here, so total return depends mainly on price appreciation and execution staying on track.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for CMG come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Consumer Cyclical so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for CMG. Last refresh: Sep 18, 2026, 10:56 PM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as AMZN, TSLA, HD.
What Chipotle Mexican Grill does
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. The company sells food and beverages, such as burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, as well as kids' meals, chips, and sides. It also offers Mexican-inspired meals using responsibly sourced meats, such as chicken, beef, and pork under the Responsibly Raised brand. In addition, the company provides digital ordering through its website, mobile app, and third-party delivery platforms. It operates in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, South Korea, and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport…
What analysts expect
CMG carries a buy consensus from 32 analysts, with an average price target of $43.86 versus $33.43 today (+31.2%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
CMG generated $12.42B in trailing revenue (9.3% year over year), with a 11.4% net margin, and $1.12B of free cash flow, against $4.74B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $11.93B | $3.03B | $2.01B | $1.54B | $1.15 | $1.45B |
| 2024 | $11.31B | $3.02B | $1.99B | $1.53B | $1.12 | $1.51B |
| 2023 | $9.87B | $2.59B | $1.63B | $1.23B | $0.89 | $1.22B |
| 2022 | $8.63B | $2.06B | $1.21B | $899.10M | $0.65 | $844.01M |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
How it sits in consumer cyclical
Discretionary spending sector sensitive to economic cycles, including retail and automotive.
The companies it competes with
CMG beside the consumer cyclical names it is usually measured against.
AMZNAmazon.com Inc.$253.71$2.74TWhat the chart is saying
Chipotle Mexican Grill trades at $33.43, 21.9% below its 52-week high. With a beta of 0.94, it shows about average sensitivity to what the wider market does.
Questions people ask about it
Is CMG a good buy right now?
Chipotle Mexican Grill trades at 31.0x earnings. This is above market average, reflecting growth expectations. Current risk level is High based on 38.9% volatility.
Does CMG pay dividends?
Chipotle Mexican Grill does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits for growth.
How volatile is CMG?
With 30-day annualized volatility of 38.9% and beta of 0.94, CMG is classified as High risk. The stock tends to be more stable than the market average.
What is the analyst price target for CMG?
The average analyst price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) is $43.86 based on 32 analyst estimates, about 31.2% above the current price of $33.43. The published range runs from $35.00 to $53.00.
How much revenue does CMG generate?
Chipotle Mexican Grill reported $12.42B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 9.3% year over year. Net margin sits at 11.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.