ICEfinancial servicesnyseupdated 9:55:05 AM

Intercontinental Exchange logoIntercontinental Exchange

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is a financial services company operating in financial data & stock exchanges. Rate cycles, credit quality, and capital returns usually drive relative performance. This analysis page tracks valuation context, trend strength, and downside risk over time.

Price

$153.49

+0.88% today

Risk

Medium

16.7% vol · 30d

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Key facts, as of

As of October 7, 2026, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) trades at $153.49, down 3.5% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $121.79 to $176.05; the price is 12.8% below that high. It is 18.9% below its all-time high of $189.35, reached in August 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +220.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 0.9% below its 200-day average of $154.93, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 16.7% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 21.6 and a dividend yield of 1.36%.

Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) stock analysis", 2026-10-07. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/ice

01Market

Where it trades today

Market cap

$86.17B

Price / earnings

21.6x

Beta

0.94

swings less than the market

Dividend yield

1.36%

Volume

2.12M

avg 3.45M

50-day average

$155.54

200-day average

$154.93

30-day trend

neutral

52-week range12.8% below the high
low $121.79$153.49high $176.05

trading 58% of the way up its 52-week range

02Price

How the price has moved

30-day price-2.71%
30 days ago$157.76 → $153.49today
1-year performance-2.5%
$134$150$166OctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
ICE · 52 weeks$157.50 → $153.49
03History

How far it is from its record

All-time high

$189.35

Aug 2025, intraday

From the high

−18.9%

+23.4% to regain it

History from

Nov 2005

monthly, Yahoo Finance

10 years

+220.6%

SPY +312.9%

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is 18.9% below its all-time high of $189.35, reached in August 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +220.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

ICE since Nov 2005−18.9% from the high
$49$98$153.49$189.35 · Aug 202520102020
Month-end closes, split-adjusted · dashed: today
04Decision

What to weigh before acting

decision support3 sources

What Matters Now

  • Credit quality, deposit stability, and how management navigates the rate cycle usually drive the next rerating.
  • ICE trades at 21.6x earnings, well above the financial services average of 12.5x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
  • Recent realized volatility sits near 16.7%, below the sector norm of 24.0%, which supports a steadier role inside a diversified portfolio.
  • Relative performance versus JPM, BAC, WFC matters here because leadership inside financial services rarely stays static for long.

Portfolio Use Case

  • ICE is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside financial services than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
  • The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
  • The stock becomes more useful when paired with an explicit catalyst watchlist, because sector sentiment can shift quickly around policy, rates, or pipeline news.

What Would Change the View

  • A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in ICE.
  • The view would need revisiting if peers such as JPM, BAC, WFC start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.

Methodology

  • Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for ICE come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
  • 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
  • Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Financial Services so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
  • Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as JPM, BAC, WFC.

Sources

  • Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →

    Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for ICE. Last refresh: Oct 7, 2026, 9:55 AM.

  • Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →

    Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.

  • Peer set and coverage context

    Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as JPM, BAC, WFC.

Editorial note · Written by Portfolio Terminal Research. Template updated 3/24/2026, market data refreshed 10/7/2026, 9:55:05 AM. Built for research and portfolio monitoring, not personalized investment advice.
05About

What Intercontinental Exchange does

profile

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides technology and data to financial institutions, corporations, and government entities in the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Canada, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It operates through three segments: Exchanges, Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. The Exchanges segment operates regulated marketplace technology for the listing, trading, and clearing of an array of derivatives contracts and financial securities, such as commodities, interest rates, foreign exchange and equities, and corporate and exchange-traded funds, as well as data and connectivity services related to its…

Employees

12,725

Industry

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Headquarters

Atlanta, United States

06Analyst Consensus

What analysts expect

ICE carries a buy consensus from 15 analysts, with an average price target of $185.00 versus $153.49 today (+20.5%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.

Consensus

Buy

Average target

$185.00

$159.00 to $236.00

Upside to target

+20.5%

Analysts covering

15

Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.

07Financial Strength

How the business is doing

ICE generated $10.56B in trailing revenue (4.8% year over year), with a 38.2% net margin, and $3.63B of free cash flow, against $19.46B of net debt.

Revenue (TTM)

$10.56B

Net margin

38.2%

Revenue growth

4.8%

Free cash flow

$3.63B

Gross margin

100.0%

Operating margin

52.6%

Return on equity

14.1%

Total cash

$1.07B

Total debt

$20.53B

Earnings growth

14.2%

08Annual Financials

The numbers, year by year

annual financials4 years
Fiscal yearRevenueGross profitOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2025$12.64B$7.10B$5.00B$3.31B$5.79$3.87B
2024$11.76B$6.52B$4.41B$2.75B$4.80$3.86B
2023$9.90B$5.66B$3.96B$2.37B$4.20$3.05B
2022$9.64B$5.20B$3.73B$1.45B$2.59$3.07B
Company filings via Yahoo Finance. Refreshed 10/7/2026.
09Next Earnings

When it reports next

Next report

Oct 29, 2026

EPS estimate

$1.92

Revenue estimate

$2.71B

Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.

10ETFs

Which ETFs hold it

ICE is in 7 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLF: 1.14% of the fund, holding #22 of 76.

etfs holding it7 of 30 funds
XLF1.14%#22 of 76VIG0.39%#60 of 333VTV0.33%#83 of 306VOO0.14%#132 of 505SPY0.13%#126 of 504IVV0.13%#126 of 503VTI0.12%#134 of 3,503
11Investors

Famous investors who hold it

ICE is in the latest 13F of 1 of the 15 famous investors we follow. Renaissance Technologies (Founded by Jim Simons) holds the most of it: 0.22% of the portfolio, position #87 of 2,931, as of Q2 2026.

famous investors1 of 15 13F filers
Renaissance TechnologiesFounded by Jim Simons · Q2 20260.22%#87 of 2,931
SEC Form 13F, Q2 2026, filed August 13, 2026. Long US positions only, 45 days after the quarter; shares, not options.Every investor we follow →
12Sector

How it sits in financial services

Sector covering banks, insurance, asset management, and fintech companies.

versus the sectorICE vs average
metricICEsectorverdict
price / earnings21.6x12.5x↑ 73%
beta0.941.10less volatile
dividend yield1.36%2.50%below average
30-day volatility16.7%24%lower risk
13Peers

The companies it competes with

ICE beside the financial services names it is usually measured against.

competitors4 companies
companypricemarket cap
Intercontinental Exchange logoICE$153.49$86.17B
JPMorgan Chase & Co. logoJPM$331.28$880.60BBank of America logoBAC$54.09$378.24BWells Fargo & Company logoWFC$81.51$246.49B
Any row opens that company's own analysis.
14Technicals

What the chart is saying

Slipped under its 50-day average inside a longer uptrend.

weakening
ice · daily
50-day 156200-day 155resistancesupport
1201301401707030RSI 14 · 48volR 165R 159S 152S 144153MayJunJulAugSepOct
Daily candles · ICELevels are zones where the price turned at least twice in the last year. Last close $153.49 on 2026-10-06.

RSI (14)

48

neutral zone

vs 50-day

−1.3%

avg $155.54

vs 200-day

−0.9%

avg $154.93

From 1-year high

−12.8%

high $176.05 · 2026-01-29

levels and the read21% annualized vol · 30d
resistance$164.51turned here 2×+7.2%
resistance$158.79turned here 7×+3.5%
support$152.06turned here 6×−0.9%
support$143.67turned here 2×−6.4%
  • Price is 1.3% below its 50-day average and 0.9% below its 200-day.
  • The 50-day crossed above the 200-day on 2026-10-01 (a “golden cross”).
  • RSI at 48 is neither stretched nor washed out.
  • The nearest ceiling is $158.79 (+3.5%), the nearest floor $152.06 (-0.9%).

A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.

15Questions

Questions people ask about it

questions9 answered

Is ICE a good investment in 2026?

Intercontinental Exchange trades at a P/E ratio of 21.6, with medium volatility (16.7% annualized). The stock is in a consolidation phase.

What is the risk level of ICE?

Based on 30-day volatility of 16.7%, ICE has MEDIUM risk. Beta of 0.94 indicates lower sensitivity to market movements than average.

Does ICE pay dividends?

Yes, Intercontinental Exchange has a dividend yield of 1.36%.

How far is ICE from its all-time high?

Intercontinental Exchange is 18.9% below its all-time high of $189.35, reached in August 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +220.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

Which ETFs hold ICE?

7 of the 30 popular ETFs we track hold Intercontinental Exchange. The largest weights: XLF (1.14%), VIG (0.39%), VTV (0.33%), VOO (0.14%) and SPY (0.13%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to September 24, 2026.

How much of VOO is ICE?

0.14%, as of August 31, 2026: ICE is holding #132 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $1.37 in Intercontinental Exchange.

Which famous investors own ICE?

Renaissance Technologies (0.22% of Founded by Jim Simons's 13F), according to their latest Form 13F filings with the SEC (Q2 2026). A 13F lists US long positions 45 days after the quarter ends, so it can be out of date.

What is the analyst price target for ICE?

The average analyst price target for Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is $185.00 based on 15 analyst estimates, about 20.5% above the current price of $153.49. The published range runs from $159.00 to $236.00.

How much revenue does ICE generate?

Intercontinental Exchange reported $10.56B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 4.8% year over year. Net margin sits at 38.2%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.

Compare ICE with anything

Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.

Intercontinental Exchange logo