Key facts, as of
As of October 8, 2026, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) trades at $227.10, down 26.7% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $190.75 to $307.11; the price is 26.1% below that high. It is 35.3% below its all-time high of $351.23, reached in June 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +424.0%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 2.4% below its 200-day average of $232.60, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 28.7% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 37.7 and a dividend yield of 1.23%.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) stock analysis", 2026-10-08. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/ajg
Where it trades today
trading 31% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
How far it is from its record
Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) is 35.3% below its all-time high of $351.23, reached in June 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +424.0%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Credit quality, deposit stability, and how management navigates the rate cycle usually drive the next rerating.
- AJG trades at 37.7x earnings, well above the financial services average of 12.5x, so the market is already pricing in above-consensus execution.
- Recent realized volatility is running around 28.7%, above the sector norm of 24.0%, so position sizing matters more than usual.
- AJG remains in a bearish short-term trend and sits 26.1% below its high, which raises the bar for any thesis that depends on fast multiple expansion.
Portfolio Use Case
- AJG is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside financial services than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
- The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
- The stock becomes more useful when paired with an explicit catalyst watchlist, because sector sentiment can shift quickly around policy, rates, or pipeline news.
What Would Change the View
- A reset in earnings expectations or a faster peer catch-up could compress the premium valuation currently embedded in AJG.
- A recovery in price alone would not be enough to improve the view; the thesis needs confirmation from improving business or valuation signals.
- Volatility is already above the sector norm, so even a correct long-term thesis can be painful if the position size is too aggressive.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for AJG come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Financial Services so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as JPM, BAC, WFC.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for AJG. Last refresh: Oct 8, 2026, 10:10 AM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as JPM, BAC, WFC.
What Arthur J. Gallagher does
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and reinsurance brokerage, consulting, and third-party property/casualty claims settlement and administration services to entities and individuals worldwide. The company operates in Brokerage and Risk Management segments. Its Brokerage segment offers retail and wholesale insurance and reinsurance brokerage services; assists retail brokers and other non-affiliated brokers in the placement of specialized and hard-to-place insurance; and acts as a brokerage wholesaler, managing general agent, and managing general underwriter for distributing specialized insurance coverages to underwriting enterprises. This segment…
What analysts expect
AJG carries a buy consensus from 18 analysts, with an average price target of $284.72 versus $227.10 today (+25.4%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
AJG generated $15.11B in trailing revenue (30.9% year over year), with a 10.4% net margin, and $2.08B of free cash flow, against $12.72B of net debt.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $13.94B | $5.94B | $2.56B | $1.49B | $5.83 | $1.78B |
| 2024 | $11.55B | $4.88B | $2.28B | $1.46B | $6.63 | $2.44B |
| 2023 | $10.07B | $4.25B | $1.86B | $970.00M | $4.51 | $1.84B |
| 2022 | $8.55B | $3.60B | $1.67B | $1.11B | $5.30 | $1.21B |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
Which ETFs hold it
AJG is in 8 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLF: 0.76% of the fund, holding #29 of 76.
How it sits in financial services
Sector covering banks, insurance, asset management, and fintech companies.
The companies it competes with
AJG beside the financial services names it is usually measured against.
What the chart is saying
Slipped under its 50-day average inside a longer uptrend.
weakening- Price is 8.5% below its 50-day average and 2.4% below its 200-day.
- The 50-day crossed above the 200-day on 2026-08-07 (a “golden cross”).
- RSI at 38 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- The nearest ceiling is $238.83 (+5.2%), the nearest floor $205.85 (-9.4%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is AJG a good investment in 2026?
Arthur J. Gallagher trades at a P/E ratio of 37.7, with medium volatility (28.7% annualized). Recent trend shows weakness.
What is the risk level of AJG?
Based on 30-day volatility of 28.7%, AJG has MEDIUM risk. Beta of 0.55 indicates lower sensitivity to market movements than average.
Does AJG pay dividends?
Yes, Arthur J. Gallagher has a dividend yield of 1.23%.
How far is AJG from its all-time high?
Arthur J. Gallagher is 35.3% below its all-time high of $351.23, reached in June 2025. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +424.0%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
Which ETFs hold AJG?
8 of the 30 popular ETFs we track hold Arthur J. Gallagher. The largest weights: XLF (0.76%), JEPI (0.69%), VIG (0.29%), VTV (0.25%) and VOO (0.10%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to September 24, 2026.
How much of VOO is AJG?
0.10%, as of August 31, 2026: AJG is holding #180 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $1.02 in Arthur J. Gallagher.
What is the analyst price target for AJG?
The average analyst price target for Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) is $284.72 based on 18 analyst estimates, about 25.4% above the current price of $227.10. The published range runs from $250.00 to $388.00.
How much revenue does AJG generate?
Arthur J. Gallagher reported $15.11B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at 30.9% year over year. Net margin sits at 10.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare AJG with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.