Key facts, as of
As of October 8, 2026, Arch Capital Group (ACGL) trades at $94.33, up 0.2% over the past year. Its 52-week range runs from $82.45 to $107.09; the price is 11.9% below that high. It is 19.0% below its all-time high of $116.47, reached in October 2024. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +267.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY). It sits 2.1% below its 200-day average of $96.35, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend. Its 30-day volatility is 16.1% annualized, which we rate medium risk. It has a trailing P/E of 7.4.
Cite: Portfolio Terminal, "Arch Capital Group (ACGL) stock analysis", 2026-10-08. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/acgl
Where it trades today
trading 48% of the way up its 52-week range
How the price has moved
How far it is from its record
Arch Capital Group (ACGL) is 19.0% below its all-time high of $116.47, reached in October 2024. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +267.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
What to weigh before acting
What Matters Now
- Credit quality, deposit stability, and how management navigates the rate cycle usually drive the next rerating.
- ACGL trades at 7.4x earnings versus 12.5x for the sector, which means the rerating case depends on proving the discount is too harsh.
- Recent realized volatility sits near 16.1%, below the sector norm of 24.0%, which supports a steadier role inside a diversified portfolio.
- Relative performance versus JPM, BAC, WFC matters here because leadership inside financial services rarely stays static for long.
Portfolio Use Case
- ACGL is more useful for investors comparing conviction names inside financial services than for someone looking for a passive “set and forget” holding.
- The beta profile suggests it can fit a quality or lower-volatility sleeve more naturally than a high-octane tactical basket.
- The stock becomes more useful when paired with an explicit catalyst watchlist, because sector sentiment can shift quickly around policy, rates, or pipeline news.
What Would Change the View
- There is little income cushion here, so total return depends mainly on price appreciation and execution staying on track.
- The view would need revisiting if peers such as JPM, BAC, WFC start winning the marginal flow or posting cleaner operating momentum.
Methodology
- Price, market cap, beta, yield, and liquidity fields for ACGL come from Yahoo Finance quote and summary data.
- 30-day volatility is calculated from recent daily returns and annualized using a 252-trading-day convention.
- Sector context uses stored benchmark averages for Financial Services so each page compares the ticker against a stable peer baseline rather than against the whole market.
- Peer comparisons use the Portfolio Terminal coverage set and highlight nearby listed alternatives such as JPM, BAC, WFC.
Sources
- Yahoo Finance quote dataopen →
Live quote, valuation, beta, yield, and volume fields used for ACGL. Last refresh: Oct 8, 2026, 10:10 AM.
- Portfolio Terminal methodologyopen →
Explains how analytics, refresh cadence, and portfolio interpretation work across the product.
- Peer set and coverage context
Comparative context for this page is anchored around nearby tracked names such as JPM, BAC, WFC.
What Arch Capital Group does
Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines; property and short-tail specialty; workers compensation; and casualty insurance. Its Reinsurance segment provides reinsurance products for casualty; marine and aviation; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe; and other…
What analysts expect
ACGL carries a buy consensus from 19 analysts, with an average price target of $111.24 versus $94.33 today (+17.9%). Targets are estimates and can move quickly after earnings.
Consensus aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Targets are estimates, not forecasts.
How the business is doing
ACGL generated $19.23B in trailing revenue (-10.5% year over year), with a 24.4% net margin, and $4.30B of free cash flow, supported by $178.00M of net cash.
The numbers, year by year
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $19.30B | — | — | $4.40B | $11.83 | $6.13B |
| 2024 | $16.93B | — | — | $4.31B | $11.47 | $6.62B |
| 2023 | $13.29B | — | — | $4.44B | $11.94 | $5.70B |
| 2022 | $9.66B | — | — | $1.48B | $3.90 | $3.77B |
When it reports next
Estimates aggregated by Yahoo Finance. Dates move and estimates change until the report lands.
Which ETFs hold it
ACGL is in 6 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLF: 0.42% of the fund, holding #47 of 76.
How it sits in financial services
Sector covering banks, insurance, asset management, and fintech companies.
The companies it competes with
ACGL beside the financial services names it is usually measured against.
What the chart is saying
Slipped under its 50-day average inside a longer uptrend.
weakening- Price is 3.4% below its 50-day average and 2.1% below its 200-day.
- RSI at 43 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- The nearest ceiling is $97.51 (+3.4%), the nearest floor $92.96 (-1.5%).
A description of the chart, not advice. Indicators describe what the price has done; none of them knows what it does next.
Questions people ask about it
Is ACGL a good investment in 2026?
Arch Capital Group trades at a P/E ratio of 7.4, with medium volatility (16.1% annualized). The stock is in a consolidation phase.
What is the risk level of ACGL?
Based on 30-day volatility of 16.1%, ACGL has MEDIUM risk. Beta of 0.26 indicates lower sensitivity to market movements than average.
Does ACGL pay dividends?
Arch Capital Group currently does not pay a regular dividend.
How far is ACGL from its all-time high?
Arch Capital Group is 19.0% below its all-time high of $116.47, reached in October 2024. Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +267.6%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
Which ETFs hold ACGL?
6 of the 30 popular ETFs we track hold Arch Capital Group. The largest weights: XLF (0.42%), VTV (0.12%), VOO (0.05%), IVV (0.05%) and SPY (0.05%). Measured on each issuer's full holdings file, dated August 31 to September 24, 2026.
How much of VOO is ACGL?
0.05%, as of August 31, 2026: ACGL is holding #292 of 505 in Vanguard's file for VOO. $1,000 in VOO puts about $0.52 in Arch Capital Group.
What is the analyst price target for ACGL?
The average analyst price target for Arch Capital Group (ACGL) is $111.24 based on 19 analyst estimates, about 17.9% above the current price of $94.33. The published range runs from $95.00 to $129.00.
How much revenue does ACGL generate?
Arch Capital Group reported $19.23B in trailing twelve-month revenue. Revenue growth is running at -10.5% year over year. Net margin sits at 24.4%. Figures are aggregated from company filings by Yahoo Finance and refresh on an hourly cadence.
Compare ACGL with anything
Five years side by side: what $10,000 became, how far each fell, whether they move together.