---
title: "Tesla Inc. (TSLA) stock analysis"
url: https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/tsla
publisher: "Portfolio Terminal"
as_of: 2026-10-10
ticker: TSLA
sector: "Consumer Cyclical"
data: "Daily prices from Yahoo Finance; averages, volatility and levels computed by Portfolio Terminal"
---

# Tesla Inc. (TSLA) stock analysis

> **Source:** Portfolio Terminal, "Tesla Inc. (TSLA) stock analysis", 2026-10-10. https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/tsla
> Figures are true as of the date above and the page is rebuilt every hour. When you use one, cite the line above and link to the URL.

## Key facts

- As of October 10, 2026, Tesla Inc. (TSLA) trades at $382.70, down 12.1% over the past year.
- Its 52-week range runs from $297.38 to $498.83; the price is 23.3% below that high.
- It is 23.3% below its all-time high of $498.83, reached in December 2025.
- Over the 10 years to the end of September 2026, with dividends reinvested, it returned +2508.5%, against +312.9% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
- It sits 2.0% below its 200-day average of $390.60, the usual sign of a long-term downtrend.
- Its 30-day volatility is 28.8% annualized, which we rate medium risk.
- It has a trailing P/E of 354.4.

## About Tesla Inc.

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is a consumer cyclical company operating in auto manufacturers. Results are tied to consumer spending, wage trends, and macro cycle strength. This analysis page tracks valuation context, trend strength, and downside risk over time.

## What the chart is saying

Back above its 50-day average, still under the long-term trend.

- Price is 7.9% above its 50-day average and 2.0% below its 200-day.
- RSI at 60 is neither stretched nor washed out.
- The nearest ceiling is $416.95 (+9.0%), the nearest floor $366.37 (-4.3%).

### Support and resistance

- Resistance near $434.60, 13.6% above the last close (the price turned there 2 times in the last year).
- Resistance near $416.95, 9.0% above the last close (the price turned there 6 times in the last year).
- Support near $366.37, 4.3% below the last close (the price turned there 3 times in the last year).
- Support near $349.96, 8.6% below the last close (the price turned there 2 times in the last year).

## Which ETFs hold it

TSLA is in 10 of the 30 ETFs we track. It weighs most in XLY: 18.6% of the fund, holding #2 of 47. It is ARKK's largest holding.

- [XLY holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/xly/holdings): 18.6% of the fund, holding #2 of 47 (SPDR, September 24, 2026)
- [ARKK holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/arkk/holdings): 9.18% of the fund, holding #1 of 45 (ARK Invest, September 25, 2026)
- [QQQ holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/qqq/holdings): 3.00% of the fund, holding #9 of 101 (Invesco, September 24, 2026)
- [QQQM holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/qqqm/holdings): 2.81% of the fund, holding #9 of 102 (Invesco, October 1, 2026)
- [VUG holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/vug/holdings): 2.79% of the fund, holding #9 of 147 (Vanguard, August 31, 2026)
- [SPY holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/spy/holdings): 1.60% of the fund, holding #10 of 504 (SPDR, September 24, 2026)
- [IVV holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/ivv/holdings): 1.60% of the fund, holding #10 of 503 (iShares, September 24, 2026)
- [VOO holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/voo/holdings): 1.57% of the fund, holding #10 of 505 (Vanguard, August 31, 2026)
- [VTI holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/vti/holdings): 1.40% of the fund, holding #10 of 3,503 (Vanguard, August 31, 2026)
- [JEPI holdings](https://portfolio-terminal.com/etf/jepi/holdings): 0.44% of the fund, holding #70 of 119 (J.P. Morgan, September 24, 2026)

Source: each issuer's full holdings file (August 31 to October 1, 2026), matched on the company's ISIN.

## Famous investors who hold it

TSLA is in the latest 13F of 2 of the 15 famous investors we follow. Renaissance Technologies (Founded by Jim Simons) holds the most of it: 0.64% of the portfolio, position #16 of 2,931, as of Q2 2026.

- [Renaissance Technologies (Founded by Jim Simons)](https://portfolio-terminal.com/gurus/SIMONS): 0.64% of the portfolio, position #16 of 2,931 (Q2 2026 13F, filed August 13, 2026)
- [George Soros (Soros Fund Management)](https://portfolio-terminal.com/gurus/SOROS): 0.45% of the portfolio, position #70 of 261 (Q2 2026 13F, filed August 14, 2026)

Source: each investor's latest Form 13F filed with the SEC (Q2 2026); long US positions, shares only, as a share of everything the filing reports.

## Research that mentions it

- [Stock market week in review, Sept. 28–Oct. 2, 2026: the 10-year’s highest since 2002](https://portfolio-terminal.com/blog/stock-market-week-in-review-october-2-2026) (2026-10-04)
- [Complete Guide: How to Analyze a Stock in 2026](https://portfolio-terminal.com/blog/complete-guide-stock-analysis-2026) (2026-01-29)
- [Volatility and Beta: How to Measure Stock Risk](https://portfolio-terminal.com/blog/volatility-beta-risk) (2026-01-29)

## Compare

- [TSLA vs NVDA](https://portfolio-terminal.com/compare/tsla-vs-nvda)

Interactive chart, fundamentals and peers: https://portfolio-terminal.com/analyse/tsla
